Sunday, December 11, 2011

FDI – A Contentious Issue


FDI – A Contentious Issue
I am sure even curious young ones in school have begun to ponder over this issue. A contentious issue indeed!! A lot has been said, written, analyzed and discussed etc. about this. Politicians have taken “keen” interest in this for various reasons. Every coin has two sides and so does this one.
Let us have a look at the various parameters involved here.
Firstly – The Farmers
The farmer is paid a fraction of the amount the end consumer pays to buy his produce. 70% of the population in India is dependent on agriculture to earn a livelihood.
40% of our farm produce is wasted before it reaches the end consumer due to logistical issues. In other words if 100kgs of apples are produced only 60kgs reach the market. The rest rot on their way due to lack of proper infrastructure
The farm produce exchanges hands with a whole lot of middle men, thus helping them earn a livelihood and this also leads to unjustified increase in price of the produce.
The end consumers have to pay more thus burning a hole in their pocket.
And finally the stars of this issue..local kiranas - will be replaced by retails giants.
The suicide rate of farmers in India is increasing at an alarming rate. They have to manage everything on their own to cultivate a good crop. They cannot buy tractors or modern equipments due to unavailability of cheap credit, lack of infrastructure (irrigation, electricity) is another concern. Farming in India is heavily dependent on rains. Excess or lack of rain will lead to heavy loss due to the investments made on the seeds, fertilizers, pesticides etc. Even if they manage to grow a good harvest, most just about manage to repay their loans and can rarely enjoy their own harvest. The reason is obvious; they are not paid enough for their harvest. The productivity too is low due to lack of modernization in farming. That explains why 70% population is dependent on farming.
Conclusion – Productivity should increase along with increase in the income of farmers which can be partly achieved through modernization in farming.
Farm produce has to exchange hands with a many middlemen before it reaches the market. A simple eg.Person 1 is responsible to collect the farm produce and deliver it till the outskirts of the village. From there Person 2 brings it to the outskirts of the city. From the outskirts of the city the product is made available to various wholesalers in different areas and then finally the product reaches the local kirana. Each contact point adding his own profit leading to increase in the overall cost. Contrary to this, imagine a scenario wherein a single person is responsible to bring this product to a shop nearest to your place. How efficient does that sound??
A large chunk(40%) of the farm produce is wasted before it reaches the consumer. Where does this 40% go? Well it rots..becomes unfit for consumption and hence has to be discarded. But the end consumer still has to pay for the 100% so all the investors in the chain get their money back. In simple maths, consumer has to pay for 100kg of apples and he gets 60kg for that amount.
How can this be avoided? Improve the infrastructure, cold storage, clean and dry go-downs etc. This obviously requires huge investment which the middle men most of them living from hand to mouth are incapable of.
And last but not the least local kiranas- Imagine a scenario where your mother has to attend a formal function somewhere on the outskirts of the city and she has to leave early morning. She cannot find a safety pin and she wants you to get it for her immediately. You have two choices, dress up à search for your wallet à goto the nearest mall à buy a safety pinà stand in queue to pay the bill à and then come home. Choice 2 à Get it from your local kirana on credit and you are DONE. The second one sounds quite comforting doesn’t it and that will be the preferred choice for most of the people in similar scenarios. This means local kiranas were, are and will be the preferred choice when it comes to buying things in small quantities and when it comes to large quantities local kiranas do not maintain that much stock and have to place special order as and when demand arises.
So the bottom line is FDI or no FDI modern retail is her to stay for the simple reason that it is more efficient if handled with some care. Yes the middle men will lose their jobs and we will have to find alternate solutions for that. But throughout history modernization has met with resistance for the fear of job losses but innovation has always created new opportunities too.
We did not shy away from using washing machines so that the dhobis do not lose their jobs.
We did not shy away from using cars just for the sake of providing employment to rickshaw pullers.
Similar is the case with modernization of modern retail.
Advantages of FDI
- The credit in India is very expensive and hence we need cheap capital which is available outside.
- Foreign Retailers have the expertise in running the business by putting to use modern technology effectively.
Either we wait for the credit scenario to improve within the country and then start the process of modernization leading to more delays.
Either we implement the tried and tested methods available outside or we start from scratch and invent something that is already available. For eg. Did we invent the telephone again in India before we started using it?
Disadvantages
-          Foreign institutions take the profits out of this country
-          They will not be punished for any wrongdoings. At the most they will have to discontinue their business in the country.
Unlike China which is heavily dependent on exports, India is a consumption led economy. This means the markets are governed by the consumption scenario within the country and less dependent on external factors. It has been observed that the moment foreign investors start investing in India the markets rise exponentially. Similarly once the same investors withdraw the investments the markets come crashing down. Hence, we have to tread with caution before opening our markets to foreign investors. Proper checks and mechanisms should be put in place to avoid the markets from faltering.